Elections 2018. Novosibirsk Where will Elbow go

The mayor of Novosibirsk, Anatoly Lokot, who had previously announced his participation in the election of the governor of the region, may give up his political ambitions.
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About this RBC sources in the presidential administration and the Communist Party. It is known that consultations are currently being held in order to "take a more systematic look at the election of the governor and the election of the mayor of Novosibirsk." The presidential administration is also involved in these consultations.
In particular, the configuration in which the Communist Party does not nominate Lokot in gubernatorial elections is discussed, but at the same time it receives guarantees that the direct election of the mayor will not be canceled in the regional capital, and Lokot will not be prevented from reelecting for a new term. The powers of the mayor of Novosibirsk expire in 2019.
The question of the participation of Lokot in the gubernatorial elections was discussed by the leader of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation Gennady Zyuganov and acting chairman of the Novosibirsk region Andrei Travnikov. It is reported that Travnikov asked not to nominate the mayor of Novosibirsk, but the negotiations were unsuccessful. Gennady Zyuganov also met with Anatoly Lokote himself.The mayor of Novosibirsk confirmed the fact of the meeting, but declined to comment further, suggesting to wait until the end of the week. The final decision will be made on June 11 at the conference of the Novosibirsk Communist Party Regional Committee.
On the eve of Lokot’s meeting with Zyuganov, it became known that the ally, the mayor of Novosibirsk, the ex-governor of the Novosibirsk region and the Krasnoyarsk region, and the ex-plenipotentiary of the Russian president in the Siberian federal district, Viktor Tolokonsky, were summoned for questioning by the Krasnoyarsk administration of the Investigative Committee. Earlier, he resigned as adviser to Anatoly Lokot. State Duma deputy from Novosibirsk Vera Ganzia (KPRF) linked his resignation with possible pressure on him by the presidential administration.
As reported by Davydov.Indeks, Anatoly Lokot announced that he was going to apply for the post of governor of the region on April 18. He stated this at a meeting with war and labor veterans, making a presentation of a historical project about the life of Novosibirsk during the Great Patriotic War. "If it is necessary, if you decide so, if you find it necessary, you are my elder comrades, those with whom we all take an example - I will take this step," he stressed.At the same time, Lokot noted that he is “not a loner” and will make a choice only on the basis of a collective decision.
The Novosibirsk Region is a problem region for the federal authorities. The current acting governor, Andrei Travnikov, is the Varangian for the region, while Anatoly Lokot, who won the election of the mayor of Novosibirsk in 2014, is a strong political figure.
The interlocutors in the Communist Party of the Russian Federation disagree on whether Anatoly Lokoty should participate in the elections of the governor. State Duma deputy Alexander Yushchenko said that there is no final decision on the participation or non-participation of Lokot today. According to Yushchenko, an important factor in favor of the nomination of the mayor of Novosibirsk is that, unlike Travnikov, he is local, people know him well, and the Novosibirsk organization of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation is "very strong in its region." “All risks are weighed, and this is reasonable. Do we have an opportunity to win the elections, how they will be held - we saw what happened during the presidential campaign, when our candidate Pavel Grudinin wasn’t called a“ maniac ”publicly. "black" technology, to the extent that touched the family, "- he said.
At the same time, the deputy chairman of the Communist Party Central Committee, Yuri Afonin, doubted whether Lokot was to become governor because the Communist Party already has a serious position in Novosibirsk: "He is a popularly elected mayor who enjoys a number of federal programs."
Earlier, on April 2, Zyuganov said that Elbow has every chance of winning the governor’s election. "It really supports the business world, and scientists, and the village supports it. He is a real candidate, let's work," the leader of the Communist Party called on the plenum of the Communist Party.
Early elections for the governor of the Novosibirsk region will be held in September 2018. The former head of the region, Vladimir Gorodetsky, resigned in the autumn of 2017.
Political analyst Alexei Mazur shares his opinion on the situation: "This morning there were rumors that the CPRF reached an agreement with the AP, as a result of which Lokot would not stand for election of the governor. Apparently some other candidate will go. In return, the CPRF receives preferences Oryol region, and in Novosibirsk, the election of the mayor will be preserved. <...> So far this has not been officially confirmed.<...> In Novosibirsk, they are looking forward to any information on the fate of Lokot. If he does not participate in the elections, Travnikov will be elected by the governor without any problems, and the Communist Party regional committee will significantly lose influence and trust in the rating. "
Political consultant Valery Smorodnikov believes that the Communist Party of the Russian Federation will be able to benefit without pushing Lokotya: “We can assume that if Lokot lost the election, defeat would be a serious loss of reputation. If the election of the mayor was preserved, he could lose this position.
At the federal level, a combination can be played out between the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and the center, at which Lokot does not participate in elections, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation receives preferences in other regions. Novosibirsk is not a point of principle for the Communists. If they receive guarantees in case of withdrawal of Lokot in another region, then it will be quite good for the party. It is not a secret for anybody that there is a "rastorgovka" party from season to season. "
Well, something like this.
The full version of the material with detailed comments of experts can be read here.
Agenda, trends, opinions, exclusive. Informally on the Telegram-channel "Davydov.Indeks".

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